Undecideds can still swing this election

The latest poll from Clarus Research group shows that 10% of Virginians are still undecided about who their next Governor should be. The poll does show Bob McDonnell ahead of Creigh Deeds by eight points, but you must also consider the 4% margin of error. The span could actually be as low as only four points, or as large as thirteen.

Assuming for the moment that the span is closer to four points than it is to thirteen, the one out of ten voters that have not made up their mind are going to decide the election. This is good news for Creigh Deeds, because he has all of the momentum right now, and there is a good chance that the undecideds will swing his way. He has had a string of solid newspaper endorsements, and has the President coming out strongly for him. That President, by the way, still posts a 54% approval rating among Virginians, so anybody that thinks that Deeds needs to distance himself from Obama is flat wrong.

All of this momentum is coupled with the fact that Creigh Deeds has a stronger field operation, built by the Obama campaign one year ago, and he will undoubtedly be able to turn out more of his voters on election day than McDonnell. This race is still close, and nothing has been decided yet. Yes, Creigh Deeds can win.

-Mike